Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.318238 0.424209 0.540824 0.676570 0.828361 0.991242 1.177706
2025-06-08 0.155931 0.284518 0.446064 0.652628 0.900752 1.182070 1.518784
2025-06-15 0.094053 0.227883 0.414668 0.668900 0.987434 1.359443 1.814792
2025-06-22 0.047949 0.173206 0.371976 0.660646 1.037023 1.488303 2.051291
2025-06-29 0.018998 0.127169 0.328738 0.641837 1.065703 1.585980 2.245724
2025-07-06 0.009265 0.112197 0.328397 0.678685 1.163371 1.766115 2.537215
2025-07-13 0.004085 0.102756 0.334447 0.722933 1.269620 1.956168 2.840230
2025-07-20 0.001066 0.093024 0.337455 0.761259 1.367117 2.134807 3.129175
2025-07-27 0.000342 0.093998 0.360064 0.828931 1.504181 2.363340 3.479175
2025-08-03 NaN 0.087945 0.367478 0.872634 1.608311 2.550132 3.778186
2025-08-10 NaN 0.072473 0.352236 0.879288 1.660539 2.670306 3.994998
2025-08-17 NaN 0.046183 0.304391 0.829360 1.631281 2.684199 4.079164
2025-08-24 NaN 0.024368 0.255685 0.774877 1.596300 2.693935 4.163827
2025-08-31 NaN 0.013160 0.227481 0.751956 1.604870 2.759726 4.318485
2025-09-07 NaN 0.009142 0.221906 0.768694 1.670802 2.900513 4.566898
2025-09-14 NaN 0.004205 0.203973 0.760027 1.697725 2.988770 4.748458
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000898 0.181655 0.739713 1.705342 3.050067 4.894922
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000661 0.188828 0.779393 1.805201 3.236112 5.201065
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000639 0.199708 0.826922 1.917367 3.439031 5.529067
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000482 0.207517 0.868020 2.019632 3.628638 5.840188
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001045 0.230128 0.940424 2.170714 3.884753 6.236861
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000978 0.240484 0.987088 2.281885 4.086775 6.564320
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000198 0.232204 0.994186 2.331434 4.205045 6.784364